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Fantasy Football: Justin Jackson is no automatic Austin Ekeler replacement

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Fantasy Football: Justin Jackson is no automatic Austin Ekeler replacement

Some running backs are just different. Their talent level puts them far above that of their backups, or their usage is so great that any one player cannot be expected to absorb it all, or they have greater versatility than their peers, or some combination of these.

Think: When Derrick Henry went down, no one was going to duplicate his production — either in efficiency or volume. When Christian McCaffrey went down, it was obvious no one player was going to inherit his massive workload.

Austin Ekeler doesn’t appear to be the kind of guy who would fall into such a classification. His usage inside the 20 is far less than other league leaders — Jonathan Taylor gets 78.6 percent of red-zone carries, Leonard Fournette got 63.5 before he went down, Dalvin Cook gets 57.5. Even Melvin Gordon, in a bona fide platoon with Javonte Williams, gets 48.6.

Yet there is Ekeler, with just 47.1 percent, despite being the clear feature back in the Chargers’ offense. It gets only slightly better inside the 5, with Ekeler rising to 50 percent, but still, his rivals across the league routinely get 60 percent or better — with Taylor and Cook topping 80.

What these numbers suggest is that Ekeler’s volume shouldn’t be as hard to replace as other top fantasy RBs. And maybe that is true. But there is something to consider, which is not just the percentage of use, but the efficiency.

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You see, Ekeler has 10 rushing touchdowns from inside the 20 — tied with Joe Mixon for the third highest in the NFL behind Taylor (14) and James Conner (13). So Ekeler is getting a ton of such attempts — 40 on the year, also tied for third. And he has scored on 25 percent of those.

Austin Ekeler #30 of the Los Angeles Chargers carries the ball
Austin Ekeler was one of fantasy football’s most efficient running backs.
Getty Images

Better, he has scored nine times on 23 rushes from inside the 10 (39.1 percent) and six times on 10 carries from inside the 5 (60 percent). Only Conner and James Robinson are better.

So what does this all mean for Justin Jackson, who would step in if Ekeler is out this week? For starters, it means we shouldn’t expect Jackson to duplicate Ekeler’s efficiency, especially when it comes to scoring.

Will he at least approach Ekeler’s workload? Ekeler has 173 carries this season. The rest of Chargers RBs combined have 106. Ekeler has 62 percent of the rushes. We would want to see some type of similar disparity between Jackson and the next guy to forecast similar domination. We don’t.

Justin Jackson #22 of the Los Angeles Chargers carries the ball
Justin Jackson may be replacing Austin Ekeler in the Chargers’ lineup, but there are other options for your fantasy team.
Getty Images

Jackson has 42 carries; Joshua Kelley and Larry Rountree have 36 and 28, respectively. His snap percentage is 14.9 of plays, compared to 12.2 and 11.0. So, not a huge difference. Jackson has gotten more of the work of late — topping 25 percent in three straight games, including 53.8 last week when Ekeler went down. But this isn’t enough to suggest he is a plug-and-play. He is certainly playable, just not automatic.

Don’t slot Jackson ahead of more proven backups, such as Alexander Mattison or Ronald Jones. We rate him as a back-end RB2 this week.


Big Weeks

Chase Edmonds RB, Cardinals, vs. Colts (FanDuel $5,800/DraftKings $4,700)

We expect Edmonds to get a larger share of the work in his second week back. A heel problem that might limit James Conner could amplify this possibility.

Emmanuel Sanders WR, Bills, at Patriots (FD $5,600/DK $4,000)

He will be fresh off a knee injury, but we’ll set aside our aversion to those making returns after long layoffs, since Gabriel Davis and Cole Beasley, both on the COVID list, will be both.

Robby Anderson WR, Panthers, vs. Buccaneers (FD $5,700/DK $4,900)

Lead Carolina WR DJ Moore is dealing with a hamstring problem. We’re not high on the Panthers’ pass offense, but Anderson could see some extra targets from Cam Newton and/or Sam Darnold.

Tyler Lockett WR, Seahawks, vs. Bears (FD $7,300/DK $6,700)

DK Metcalf could be limited by a foot issue. Despite Lockett’s feast-or-famine history, he has double-digit PPR outings in five of his past six games.

Small Weaks

Josh Allen QB, Bills, at Patriots (FD $8,500/DK $7,500)

Hard to find “weak” guys among the few with clear availability, but Allen faces the toughest D vs. opposing fantasy QBs. Was limited to just 11.7 fantasy points in Week 13 by the Pats and the blustery Buffalo conditions.

Rashaad Penny RB, Seahawks, vs. Bears (FD $6,100/DK $5,500)

Looks incredibly pedestrian, and was outperformed by DeeJay Dallas last week. Expect Dallas to inch even further into Penny’s workload this week.

Jerry Jeudy WR, Broncos, at Raiders (FD $5,800/DK $5,000)

Scored a donut last week, his third single-digit (or worse) game in the past month. Drew Lock at QB doesn’t move the needle much, but what little it does is in the wrong direction.

Dawson Knox TE, Bills, at Patriots (FD $6,100/DK $5,300)

Held to just two catches by the Pats three weeks ago. New England gives up about 50 percent fewer PPR points to tight ends than the NFL average.

Fantasy Insanity Daily Duel

Site: FanDuel

Slate: Sun. main (11 games)

Type: $9 tourney

Top prize: $25K

Pot: $250K

Drew’s Crew

QB – Matthew Stafford (LAR, at Min) $7,900

RB – Alexander Mattison (Min, vs. LAR) $5,500

RB – Damien Harris (NE, vs. Buf) $6,600

WR – Cooper Kupp (LAR, at Min) $9,800

WR – Braxton Berrios (NYJ, vs. Jac) $5,300

WR – Emmanuel Sanders (Buf, at NE) $5,600

TE – Mark Andrews (Bal, at Cin) $8,000

Flex – Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det, at Atl) $6,500

DEF – Buccaneers (TB, at Car) $4,700

Wilk’s Warriors

QB – Jalen Hurts (Phi, NYG) $7,700

RB – James Robinson (Jac, at NYJ) $8,200

RB – Ronald Jones II (TB, at Car) $5,400

WR – Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det, at Atl) $6,500

WR – Laquon Treadwell (Jac, at NYJ) $5,300

WR – Cooper Kupp (LAR, at Min) $9,800

TE – Cole Kmet (Chi, at Sea) $5,000

Flex – Cordarrelle Patterson (Atl, vs. Det) $7,200

DEF – Chargers (LAC, at Hou) $4,800

Season risked: $122

Season winnings: Jarad $70, Drew $15

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Sports world reacts to John Madden’s death

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Sports world reacts to John Madden’s death

Legendary NFL coach and broadcaster John Madden died Tuesday morning at 85, the NFL announced. News of the football icon’s passing hit Twitter on Tuesday evening, and athletes, coaches and broadcasters from across the sports world reacted.

Fellow broadcasting legend Dick Vitale, who is currently battling cancer, called Madden “the greatest analyst of all time of any sport” in his Twitter tribute.

Former Yankees pitcher and notable Raiders fan CC Sabathia said “your legacy will live forever.” Madden coached the then-Oakland Raiders from 1969-78, a couple of years before Sabathia, a Vallejo, California native, was born. Lakers star LeBron James had similar words about Madden’s lasting legacy, adding an infinity emoji.

Former tennis star and social justice activist Billie Jean King recalled meeting Madden as a “privilege.”

Radio voice of the Rangers Kenny Albert, a five-sport broadcaster who’s been with FOX Sports since its inception in 1994, shared a photo circa 26 years ago to remember Madden.

ESPN’s Bomani Jones took a bit of a shot at current color commentators, noting that Madden “set an unreachable standard.”

Frank Caliendo, who’s made a career out of impersonations, including one for Madden, said he was surprised how emotional he felt.

Several football players, and others, including Saints running back Mark Ingram II and former Cowboys receiver Dez Bryant, credited Madden with being part of the reason why they love football.

Rams wide receiver and NFL MVP contender Cooper Kupp quote the late coach in his tribute: “The road to Easy Street goes through the sewer.”

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Miles McBride’s Knicks role will lessen with Kemba Walker’s resurgence

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Miles McBride’s Knicks role will lessen with Kemba Walker’s resurgence

MINNEAPOLIS — The Knicks got back another body in rookie point guard Miles McBride, who was cleared from protocols Tuesday and rejoined the team in Minnesota.

But there is no longer any hype for the rookie’s return. Kemba Walker is back as the starting point guard and coming off winning Eastern Conference Player of the Week honors with four standout games, including his Christmas Day spectacular. The Knicks have gone 2-2 since Walker regained the starting job.

“It’s great,’’ coach Tom Thibodeau said. “He had a great week. He’s playing great basketball. The team winning helps him get recognized and he was a big part of driving that winning. It’s great for the team.’’

McBride was also spectacular in his last outing before getting COVID-19, when he played the entire second half Dec. 16 in Houston and seemingly earned a spot in the rotation. In fact, McBride had strung together two decent outings before he was ruled out. But things have changed since his emergence and McBride is likely back to being a bit player.

Without a practice, McBride wasn’t even expected to see time when the Knicks faced the Timberwolves to kick off a four-game road trip.

Miles McBride
NBAE via Getty Images

Of course, with Walker’s arthritic knee, anything is possible. The Knicks play Detroit on Wednesday in a back-to-back, so it’s uncertain whether Walker will complete both contests. In addition, Immanuel Quickley is out of COVID-19 protocols but Thibodeau wasn’t sure he was ready for meaningful minutes.

That left Walker against the depleted Timberwolves, who were missing their three top players (Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns, D’Angelo Russell), all because of COVID-19 .

Kemba Walker
Kemba Walker
USA TODAY Sports

When McBride got sidelined by the virus and Derrick Rose needed ankle surgery, Walker was resurrected by Thibodeau and it’s been a stunning comeback story.

Though Thibodeau has clear reservations about Walker based on his nine-game banishment due to his defensive malaise as an undersized point guard, he admitted after the Christmas Day triple-double against Atlanta that Walker is playing “much more aggressive.”

Walker’s triple-double that featured 10 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds was a lot different than his prior outing, when he scored 44 points against Washington.

“I thought his passing was terrific,’’ Thibodeau said before the Knicks resumed their schedule.

“Kemba had control of the game. The game tells you what to do. That’s what I loved about the way he played. I don’t think he forced anything. They puts size on him and were aggressive in their pick-and-roll coverage. He didn’t fight it. He attacked pressure the way you like to attack pressure. You don’t fight pressure with pressure. Don’t try to split it. Get rid of it, go to the backside. Let the game tell you what to do.’’

The Knicks coach is finally seeing all the elements of what Walker can do. Before his demotion, Walker was nothing more than a no-defense, 3-point shooter whose plus-minus was an abysmal minus-122.

Thibodeau was also concerned about his durability in sitting out two of the three back-to-back sets. The last load management game in Atlanta in late November triggered Thibodeau’s decision.

But now it’s only superlatives from Thibodeau in judging the last four games.

“Sometimes it’s going to be his shooting, sometimes it’s his penetration and getting in the paint to force a collapse and sometimes they’re being aggressive with their traps get rid of the ball quickly,’’ Thibodeau said. “The overall play, his rebounding. When your guards rebound, those are key to fast breaks. The more guard rebounding we get the better we can be. ‘’

The Knicks still have three players in protocols — centers Nerlens Noel and Jericho Sims and the newly infected Wayne Selden. Quickley and Kevin Knox were cleared on Christmas but were held out for conditioning.

No matter. The Knicks go as Kemba goes.

“He’s much more aggressive,’’ Thibodeau said. “That was the challenge. At the beginning of the year he and Evan were two new starters. Sometimes guys are trying to fit in. he’s being very aggressive which is the way we want him to play. Not deferring at all. When he and Julius [Randle] are aggressive like that our team is different.’’

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Bar raises dramatically for Zach Wilson in matchup with Tom Brady, Buccaneers

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Zach Wilson and Tom Brady

When Zach Wilson stares across the MetLife Stadium field at the opposite sideline this Sunday, it won’t be Trevor Lawrence he’ll be looking at as his game-day counterpart.

Lawrence, drafted by Jacksonville one spot before the Jets selected Wilson at No. 2 overall last April, is a contemporary.

This Sunday at MetLife, the Jets rookie quarterback won’t be staring at a contemporary on the other sideline. He’ll be staring at the GOAT.

Tom Brady.

The bar raises dramatically for Wilson and the Jets, who are coming off of their feel-good, get-well win over the woeful Jaguars and Lawrence this past Sunday.

Brady and Buccaneers, who are 11-4, NFC South division champions and seeking to repeat as Super Bowl champions, play the Jets, who are 4-11 and seeking more signs of development from their rookie quarterback.

To say this is a step up in competition for Wilson and the Jets going from Lawrence and the Jags to Brady and the Bucs is as obvious as pointing out that Tampa Bay receiver Antonio Brown has had a few off-the-field incidents during his otherwise stellar NFL career.

There hasn’t been a lot to keep the interest of the Jets fan this season — other than watching Wilson’s development. That took an unfortunate pause for the four games Wilson missed with a knee injury, but he’s been back for five games and has looked like a better quarterback, throwing only two interceptions in those games (none in the last three) since returning from his injury.

The problem, though, is that Wilson hasn’t been producing enough touchdowns, throwing for three of them and rushing for four others in the past five games.

Zach Wilson and Tom Brady
Zach Wilson and Tom Brady
N.Y. Post: Charles Wenzelberg; AP

Baby steps, though.

Wilson was the better quarterback this past Sunday when matched up with Lawrence, who threw for more yards than Wilson did, but Wilson ran for 91 yards, including his electric 52-yard scoring jaunt, and made key throws when he needed them.

Wilson will not win Sunday’s game against Brady and the Bucs throwing for the 102 yards he had against the Jaguars. He and the Jets will need more.

Consider this: Brady enters the game having thrown 37 TD passes and for 4,580 yards this season and averages a league-high 305.2 passing yards per game.

Then this: The Buccaneers average 29.5 points per game this season, second most in the NFL.

And this: Wilson doesn’t have a single 300-yard passing game, averages 183 passing yards per game and has thrown seven TD passes in 11 games.

Seven TD passes is a pedestrian two-game total for Brady.

Wilson and the Jets are playing with house money anyway in what always has been a developmental season, so Sunday against Brady should, at its very least, be a great measuring-stick learning experience for Wilson, who’s studied Brady on tape.

Wilson revealed this month that he watched film of Brady before the Jets played the Eagles on Dec. 5 in an effort to pick up tips on how Brady worked against the Eagles defense when he played them earlier in the season.

“I thought it was really cool to see kind of how he went through his whole process, how he navigated the pocket, different things like that,” Wilson said at the time.

On Sunday, Wilson gets to see that process up close as Brady tries to dissect a Jets defense that has yielded 29.9 points per game this season, the most in the NFL.

That puts an added onus on Wilson to produce on the other side of the ball, because he knows Brady is going to get his. Wilson will likely need to produce four TDs — any way he can — for the Jets to simply remain competitive with the Super Bowl champs.

That’s a lot to ask of a 22-year-old kid who’s produced just 11 TDs in his 11 starts, up against Brady, who’s thrown 618 TD passes and for 83,784 yards in his remarkable career.

It, too, is a lot to ask playing against an aggressive Tampa Bay defense that’s ranked No. 9 in the NFL in points allowed (20.8 per game) and is led by former Jets head coach Todd Bowles, who’d surely like to send a holiday message to his former employer.

If you don’t think Bowles will be blitzing the bejesus out of Wilson, then you probably think Antonio Brown is a living saint.

The good news for the Jets is that Wilson has shown incremental improvements, particularly when it comes to his decision-making and quicker releases on his throws.

“He’s coming along, he’s getting more comfortable, he’s calmer back there,’’ Jets coach Robert Saleh said Monday. “He’s in a great headspace and it’s going to be fun to watch him grow, continue to grow.’’

A big part of that growth will take place this Sunday as he watches the GOAT operate from the opposite sideline at MetLife.

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