When Luton Ton plays Liverpool at Kenilworth Road on Sunday in the English Premier League (2023–24), there should be a Christmas vibe. As of Matchweek 11, Liverpool (7-2-1) is two points behind leader Tottenham in the Premier League standings. For the first time since 1992, Luton Town (1-2-7) are navigating the top division, currently sitting in 18th place. The previous time the teams faced up in the FA Cup was in the third round in 2008, when Luton Town held the Reds to a 1-1 draw before Liverpool crushed the Hatters 5-0 in the replay.
Luton, England kickoff is scheduled for 11:30 a.m. ET. The most recent Liverpool vs. Luton Town odds have the Reds as -450 favorites on the money line (risk $450 to win $100). The underdog Luton Town is favored by +1200, the price for a draw is +525, and the total goals expected is 3.5. See what SportsLine soccer insider Brandt Sutton has to say before making any predictions for Liverpool vs. Luton Town.
Sutton, a former collegiate player, has spent almost five years as the leading soccer editor at SportsLine. Having been a passionate soccer fan for a much longer time, he considers managerial strategies, expected lineups, and previous results to make the best choices. With a record of 165-130-2, Sutton concluded 2022 as SportsLine’s top soccer analyst, earning roughly $2,200 for $100 bettors. With his soccer selections since the World Cup last year, he is 131-117 (+9.84).
The Reds are the far better squad and they are vying for the top spot in the table. They won’t give up easily. Mohamed Salah has scored eight of their 23 goals, which is the most. In the last three games, Darwin Nunez has scored, including Wednesday’s 2-1 EFL Cup triumph over Bournemouth for the Reds. With nine goals, Luton Town is tied for third-fewest goals in the league, while Liverpool is tied for second most goals. Liverpool has only given up nine goals whereas The Hatters have given up twenty.
The Reds are difficult to stop because of Salah and Nunez in addition to guys like Diogo Jota (three goals), Cody Gakpo (two goals), and possibly Luis Diaz (two goals). Since Luton Town has the fewest possession percentage in the league (37%), Liverpool should have plenty of opportunities. With 172 shots, they lead the league and have 29 more on goal than the hosts. The Hatters are shooting 17% on goal, which is by far the lowest percentage in the league. At least 28% of the time, all other teams are hitting their targets.Choose your team from this list.
It takes some getting used to The Kenny’s cozy environment, and the Hatters make it a point to defend at home. In their four games at Kenilworth Road, they have given up six goals, while away from home, they have given up fourteen. There, they have only managed three goals while just once being shut out. Eight of Luton Town’s twelve games in all competitions have had at least one goal scored. Six of their nine goals in the league have come from goals scored in their last five games.
Luton Town will be playing their third game, and Liverpool will be playing their fifth since October 21. Elijah Adebayo (two goals) and Carlton Morris (three goals) are two of the Hatters’ reliable scorers. In their last 11 games overall, Liverpool has given up a goal in eight of them. Liverpool has the third-worst percentage (28.5) on target and frequently misses the mark with their attempts. Luton could annoy the Reds on Sunday since they are equal for fourth place in the league in fouls committed (119).Choose your team from this list.
Sutton is leaning toward 3.5 goals after analyzing every angle of Sunday’s Premier League encounter. In addition, he offers a thorough analysis of this encounter and his confident best pick. Only at SportsLine will he share his Premier League predictions and insights.